Posted by admin | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 26-10-2008
Options University is starting a new 6 month class about managing positions by rolling and morphing. I finally got around to watching the preview webinar and was REALLY impressed. Great stuff especially for a free webinar with lots meaty material.
Don’t know how long they’ll leave it up since the classes are starting soon so if you want to watch it do it soon.
Click here to watch the Trade the Position webinar
Posted by admin | Posted in Volatility | Posted on 24-10-2008
Looks like we broke support on the Dow yesterday and I got several emails this morning about how this could be the worse day ever in stock market history.
Here’s what I got from David Elliott and he’s usually right about these things:
Look for a gap down open for the Indexes today.
England has posted a quarterly break of GDP of .5% in overnight.
This has crushed Asian and European markets overnight.
And is sending US futures down large percentages in the pre market.
Look for the Futures test the DJ 8199 area in pre market, and the opening move for the DJ to test and break it.
The wedge pattern that the markets have made the last 10 days should break down to new market lows for this bear market.
One thing this market has done for me is made me more comfortable trading the downside. A year ago it just didn’t feel natural. But since then I’m have several successful trades. I’ve lost too but done okay with the downside trades.
- buying puts in BAC and ABX
- selling a call spread in Google (in July when they had really bad earnings and dropped 50 points!)
- buying calls in DOG at a 85 delta and rolling down as needed
I’m also hearing the tech is the next sector to feel some real pain — more than it already has.. and this thing is going to domino through all the sectors. So, I’m looking for more opportunities to buy puts and starting to pay more attention to Elliott Wave theory. I have some great articles that I’ll post soon.
Posted by admin | Posted in Lessons Learned | Posted on 20-10-2008
A photoblog of traders and brokers having a bad day. Guess I shouldn’t laugh but it did make me laugh. I’m filing this under Lessons Learned…
Posted by admin | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 17-10-2008
If you’re trading gold through GLD or maybe the spot market, or through mining stocks — you need to see this video:
Gold Video
Posted by admin | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 14-10-2008
Two days later the blog is finally moved to Wordpress. A few details still to take care of but the heavy lifting is done.
One thing that I couldn’t help is that the RSS feed changed, so if you’re using that you’ll need to resubscribe or update your link.
The new link is: http://www.newoptiontraderblog.com/feed
Posted by admin | Posted in ETFs | Posted on 08-10-2008
If you think there’s more pain ahead for the Dow, then buying DOG which is an inverse ETF for DJIA might be a good idea.
This morning I bought a DOG NOV 72 call with an 82 delta. I’m doing a stock replacement strategy and plan on rolling down when the delta goes above 85. This strategy of ITM calls with 80-85 deltas and rolling to keep that delta has worked well for me before.. We’ll see how it works out.
On another note, DEFINITELY moving this blog this weekend! If anyone has experience moving from Typepad to Wordpress please pass along any gotchas I should know of now..
Posted by admin | Posted in Uncategorized | Posted on 02-10-2008
Apologies for disappearing for the last several months. Some pretty significant things have been happening since my last post and I’m not even talking about the credit crunch, debt collapse, and general market craziness.
- Got laid off in February (along with 1,000 other people at large internet search company..)
- Took a 2 month consulting job that turned into a 4 month consulting job
- Joined a forex coaching group — LOVE forex trading and looking forward to trading options on forex.
What’s Next?
- Regarding trading? I’m looking for opportunities to trade puts. Think there’s still more pain to come so want to be on the right side of that. Will post more often as I work with long puts and put spreads
- I’ll be moving this blog to Wordpress this weekend. It’s on Typepad now. My subscription is up and Typepad just isn’t meeting my needs anymore. Everything should go smoothly but would appreciate any good thoughts you can send my way…